Cigarette Market: Global Industry Analysis and Forecast (2024-2030)

  • The Cigarette Market size was valued at USD 940 Bn. in 2023 and the total Global Cigarette revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.76% from 2024 to 2030, reaching nearly USD 1137 Bn. by 2030.

  • Format : PDF | Report ID : SMR_1844

Cigarette Market Overview

The cigarette is currently regarded as a very apparent breed of smoking in many areas of the globe. The term "cigarette" derives from this French word called "cigarette," which implies "small cigar." The majority of currently produced cigarettes contain refined and contain remanufactured tobacco as well as additional Mediums. Despite smoking prevalence in affluent regions being steadied or falling over a period, it keeps increasing in emerging economies. Cigarettes remain among the largest widely used tobacco commodities throughout our globe.

 

The majority of cigarettes are made from regenerated tobacco, including reprocessed tobacco stalks. Cigarettes have been accessible since the 9th century mostly in the shape of stems and puffing pipes. Cigarettes were slowly transformed in a broad range of forms, configurations, colours, tastes, and concentrations to meet the interests of customers. Cigarette consumption is significantly rising, especially in emerging nations like Africa and Asia. It's attributable to the higher populace as well as legislative rules governing cigarette manufacture.

 

To accommodate diverse consumer preferences, a range of varieties and flavours of cigarettes are offered by the manufacturers to attract the consumers. Regular or traditional cigarettes, light cigarettes, menthol cigarettes, flavoured cigarettes, and clove cigarettes are among the common varieties. Every division caters to distinct consumer groups by providing distinctive features and taste preferences. The tobacco industry operates in a climate of tighter laws and growing health concerns.

 

Numerous health hazards, including as cardiovascular disease, cancer, and respiratory disorders, have been strongly linked to cigarette smoking by scientific studies. To lower the prevalence of smoking and lessen the health hazards that come with it, governments and health organizations throughout the world have launched anti-smoking campaigns, public health campaigns, and regulatory measures. These laws include bans on smoking in public areas, health warning label requirements, advertising limitations, and higher taxes.

Cigarette Market

 

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Cigarette Market Dynamics

Addiction and Social Factors

The addiction to nicotine propels recurrent purchases and consumption in current smokers, hence promoting market stability. Many smokers see smoking as a way to unwind and relieve stress, which encourages them to keep smoking especially when they're stressed or anxious. Peer pressure, cultural acceptance, and social norms around smoking behaviour all contribute significantly to the continued need for cigarettes, which increase the demand of cigarette and eventually fuels the growth of the cigarette market.

 

Health Concerns and Regulatory Pressure

Especially in developed nations, a growing consciousness of the health hazards linked to smoking, such as cancer, heart disease, and respiratory ailments, causes smoking rates to drop and the market for cigarettes to decline. Cigarette use is impacted by government restrictions on tobacco advertising, packaging, labelling, and sales, as well as by increasing taxes and laws prohibiting smoking in public areas. These factors affect the growth of the market. Also, comprehensive tobacco control measures, such outlawing tobacco advertising, displaying graphic health warnings, and offering smoking cessation programmes, help lower the prevalence of tobacco use and discourage potential new users, which directly affect the cigarette market.

 

Declining Smoking Rates and Competition from Alternatives

Stricter laws, shifting societal standards, and growing awareness of the health hazards of tobacco use are all contributing to a decline in smoking rates across the world. Cigarette producers now confront a dilemma as their consumer bases get smaller and the market for their products declines. In recent times, traditional cigarette makers are facing a competitive challenge from the introduction of alternative nicotine delivery technologies, such as e-cigarettes and vaping devices. These goods provide smokers with healthier nicotine alternatives, which cause changes in consumer preferences and affect the cigarette market. 

 

Digital Marketing and Brand Differentiation

Cigarette companies have a more successful customer outreach by utilising digital marketing channels and e-commerce platforms, particularly with younger demographics that are more engaged online. Targeted advertising and client interaction are further benefits of digital platforms. Cigarette manufacturers anticipate to concentrate on premiumization tactics by providing more expensive, superior-quality products that cater to particular customers. Companies also stand out in a competitive market by using marketing campaigns, flavour innovations, and packaging to differentiate their brands. By allocating resources towards the investigation and creation of low-risk tobacco products, such heat-not-burn gadgets and nicotine-free tobacco pouches, cigarette manufacturers address consumer preferences for substitutes that have fewer health hazards.

 

Cigarette Market Segment Analysis

Based on the Types, cigarette market is divided into Light, Medium and Other segments. Light Cigarettes have the highest market share in the segment. Light cigarettes are distinguished from regular or full-flavour cigarettes by having lower amounts of tar, nicotine, and other hazardous substances. They are often referred to as low-tar or low-nicotine cigarettes. Moreover, smoker’s belief that they are less dangerous and present a lesser health risk than non-smokers is impacting the market's growth.

 

Many smokers think they are able to lessen the negative health impacts of smoking by selecting light-type products. Another significant factor that promotes growth is the marketing of light cigarettes as a gentler and smoother smoking experience. These appeals to people who find the taste and harshness of conventional tobacco unappealing. In addition, several countries have implemented regulations requiring cigarette producers to disclose the amount of tar and nicotine on product packaging. These has caused some consumers to choose lighter products because they think it's a safer option, which has accelerated the growth of the market.

Cigarette Market1

In terms of tar and nicotine levels, medium cigarettes are in the middle between light and full-flavored cigarettes. Though they are usually milder than full-flavour cigarettes, they provide a somewhat greater smoking sensation than light cigarettes. Manufacturers achieve the medium designation by using tobacco blends with moderate tar and nicotine levels to provide customer slight strong smoking experience. For those who want to balance lower health risks with a more enjoyable smoking experience, they find medium cigarettes appealing.

 

Full-Flavour, Ultra-light and Ultra-low Tar cigarettes comes under others category. Regular or "red" cigarettes, often known as full-flavour cigarettes, have more tar, nicotine, and other dangerous ingredients than light or medium cigarettes. There are ultra-light and ultra-low tar cigarettes, which are advertised as having even less nicotine and tar. To attain their lower tar and nicotine levels, ultra-light and ultra-low tar cigarettes make use of sophisticated filtering technologies, exceptionally light tobacco mixes, and extensive ventilation.

 

Cigarette Market Regional Analysis

Asia Pacific dominates the cigarette market in 2023. Its dominance in the industry is attributed to a number of factors, including the increasing population, fast urbanisation, various smoking cultures, and the existence of major tobacco-consuming nations. Additionally, some of the world's biggest cigarette consumers are China, India, Indonesia, Bangladesh, and Japan. In addition, social acceptance, long-standing customs around smoking, and cultural variables frequently impact the incidence of smoking in these countries.

 

Also, the increasing demand for products from people in the area and the fact that some businesses are modifying their marketing strategies to conform to regional tastes and customs are helping them become more visible in the market.  The market for cigarettes is in high demand because of ingrained smoking habits and the launch of creative product variants that satisfy a wide range of customer tastes, which propels the growth of the market in the region.

Cigarette Market2

The market in North America is witnessing the growth in demand for lower-risk tobacco products like heat-not-burn devices and e-cigarettes, which points to a shift in favour of harm reduction and smoking cessation programmes. The market is growing faster yet because of the increased spending on marketing initiatives and new product development to hold onto its customer base. The culture and lifestyle of the youngsters fuelling the cigarette market in region.

 

Cigarette Market Competitive Landscape

  • In May 2022, British America Tobacco (BAT) test-launched a new single-use, or disposable, e-cigarette called Vuse Go in the UK., that are available in nine flavours including mint ice, creamy tobacco, and multiple fruit flavours.
  • October 2022: Altria Group, Inc. announced that JT Group (JT) agreed to enter into a strategic partnership with them to market and commercialize heated tobacco stick products in the United States and to expand the company's heated tobacco product line.
  • January 2022: 22nd Century introduced the first reduced nicotine cigarette or VLN, which the FDA approved to promote smoking less. The company is now focusing on bringing VLN to the market aggressively. 

Cigarette Market Scope

Market Size in 2023

USD 940 Bn.

Market Size in 2030

USD 1137 Bn.

CAGR (2024-2030)

2.76%

Historic Data

2018-2022

Base Year

2023

Forecast Period

2024-2030

Segments

By Type

Light

Medium

Others

 

By Distribution Channel

Tobacco Shops

             Supermarkets & Hypermarkets

Convenience Stores

Online Stores

Others

Regional Scope

North America- United States, Canada, and Mexico

Europe – UK, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Sweden, Austria, and Rest of Europe

Asia Pacific – China, India, Japan, South Korea, Australia, ASEAN, Rest of APAC

Middle East and Africa - South Africa, GCC, Egypt, Nigeria, Rest of the Middle East and Africa

South America – Brazil, Argentina, Rest of South America

 

Key Players in The Cigarette Market

  1. Phillip Morris International
  2. British American Tobacco
  3. China National Tobacco Corporation
  4. Japan Tobacco International
  5. Imperial Brands
  6. Korea Tobacco & Ginseng Corporation
  7. ITC Limited
  8. Vector Group
  9. Scandinavian Tobacco Group
  10. Alliance One International
  11. Swedish Match AB
  12. PT Gudang Garam Tbk
  13. China Tobacco
  14. Habanos S.A.
  15. Eastern Tobacco Company
  16. Godfrey Phillips India
  17. Carreras Limited
  18. National Tobacco Company
  19. Djarum
  20.  Mac Baren Tobacco Company


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Frequently Asked Questions

The global cigarette market was valued at USD 940 Billion in 2023.

1.    Cigarette Market: Research Methodology
1.1. Research Data 
1.1.1.    Primary Data
1.1.2.    Secondary Data

1.2. Market Size Estimation
1.2.1.    Bottom-Up Approach
1.2.2.    Top-Down Approach

1.3. Market Breakdown and Data Triangulation
1.4. Assumptions
2.    Cigarette Market: Executive Summary
2.1. Market Overview
2.2. Market Size (2023) and Forecast (2024 – 2030) and Y-O-Y%
2.3. Market Size (USD) and Market Share (%) – By Segments and Regions
3.    Cigarette Market: Competitive Landscape
3.1. Stellar Competition Matrix
3.2. Key Players Benchmarking
3.2.1.    Company Name 
3.2.2.    Headquarter
3.2.3.    Product Segment
3.2.4.    Total Production (2023)
3.2.5. End-user Segment
3.2.6. Y-O-Y%
3.2.7. Revenue (2023)
3.2.8. Profit Margin
3.2.9. Market Share
3.2.10. Company Locations

3.3. Market Structure
3.3.1.    Market Leaders 
3.3.2.    Market Followers
3.3.3.    Emerging Players

3.4. Consolidation of the Market
3.4.1. Strategic Initiatives and Developments
3.4.2. Mergers and Acquisitions
3.4.3. Collaborations and Partnerships
3.4.4. Product Launches and Innovation

4.    Cigarette Market: Dynamics
4.1. Market Trends by Region
4.1.1. North America
4.1.2. Europe
4.1.3. Asia Pacific
4.1.4. Middle East and Africa
4.1.5. South America

4.2. Market Drivers 
4.3. Market Restraints
4.4. Market Opportunities
4.5. Market Challenges 
4.6. PORTER’s Five Forces Analysis
4.6.1. Intensity of the Rivalry
4.6.2. Threat of New Entrants
4.6.3. Bargaining Power of Suppliers
4.6.4. Bargaining Power of Buyers
4.6.5. Threat of Substitutes

4.7. PESTLE Analysis
4.7.1. Political Factors
4.7.2. Economic Factors
4.7.3. Social Factors
4.7.4. Technological Factors
4.7.5. Legal Factors
4.7.6. Environmental Factors

4.8. Technological Roadmap 
4.9. Value Chain Analysis
4.10. Price Trend Analysis 
4.11. Trade Analysis
4.11.1.    Import Scenario
4.11.2.    Export Scenario
4.12. Regulatory Landscape
4.12.1.    Market Regulation by Region
4.12.1.1.    North America
4.12.1.2.    Europe
4.12.1.3.    Asia Pacific
4.12.1.4.    Middle East and Africa
4.12.1.5.    South America
4.12.2.    Impact of Regulations on Market Dynamics
4.12.3.    Government Schemes and Initiatives

5.    Cigarette Market Size and Forecast by Segments (by Value USD Million and Volume in Units)
5.1. Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, By Type (2023-2030)
5.1.1.    Light
5.1.2.    Medium
5.1.3.    Others

5.2. Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, By Distribution Channel (2023-2030)
5.2.1.    Tobacco Shops
5.2.2.    Supermarkets & Hypermarkets
5.2.3.    Convenience Stores
5.2.4.    Online Stores
5.2.5.    Others

5.3. Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, by Region (2023-2030)
5.3.1.    North America
5.3.2.    Europe
5.3.3.    Asia Pacific
5.3.4.    Middle East and Africa
5.3.5.    South America

6.    North America Cigarette Market Size and Forecast (by Value USD Million and Volume in Units)
6.1. North America Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, By Type (2023-2030)
6.1.1.    Light
6.1.2.    Medium
6.1.3.    Others

6.2. North America Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, By Distribution Channel (2023-2030)
6.2.1.    Tobacco Shops
6.2.2.    Supermarkets & Hypermarkets
6.2.3.    Convenience Stores
6.2.4.    Online Stores
6.2.5.    Others

6.3. North America Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, by Country (2023-2030)
6.3.1.    United States
6.3.2.    Canada
6.3.3.    Mexico

7.    Europe Cigarette Market Size and Forecast (by Value USD Million and Volume in Units)
7.1. Europe Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, By Type (2023-2030)
7.2. Europe Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, By Distribution Channel (2023-2030)
7.3. Europe Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, by Country (2023-2030)
7.3.1.    UK
7.3.2.    France
7.3.3.    Germany
7.3.4.    Italy
7.3.5.    Spain
7.3.6.    Sweden
7.3.7.    Austria
7.3.8.    Rest of Europe

8.    Asia Pacific Cigarette Market Size and Forecast (by Value USD Million and Volume in Units)
8.1. Asia Pacific Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, By Type (2023-2030)
8.2. Asia Pacific Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, By Distribution Channel (2023-2030)
8.3. Asia Pacific Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, by Country (2023-2030)
8.3.1.    China
8.3.2.    S Korea
8.3.3.    Japan
8.3.4.    India
8.3.5.    Australia
8.3.6.    Indonesia 
8.3.7.    Malaysia
8.3.8.    Vietnam
8.3.9.    Taiwan
8.3.10.    Bangladesh 
8.3.11.    Pakistan
8.3.12.    Rest of Asia Pacific

9.    Middle East and Africa Cigarette Market Size and Forecast (by Value USD Million and Volume in Units)
9.1. Middle East and Africa Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, By Type (2023-2030)
9.2. Middle East and Africa Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, By Distribution Channel (2023-2030)
9.3. Middle East and Africa Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, by Country (2023-2030)
9.3.1.    South Africa
9.3.2.    GCC
9.3.3.    Egypt
9.3.4.    Nigeria
9.3.5.    Rest of ME&A

10.    South America Cigarette Market Size and Forecast (by Value USD Million and Volume in Units)
10.1. South America Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, By Type (2023-2030)
10.2. South America Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, By Distribution Channel (2023-2030)
10.3. South America Cigarette Market Size and Forecast, by Country (2023-2030)
10.3.1.    Brazil
10.3.2.    Argentina
10.3.3.    Rest of South America

11.    Company Profile: Key players
11.1. Phillip Morris International
11.1.1.     Company Overview
11.1.2.    Product Segment
11.1.2.1.    Product Name
11.1.2.2.    Product Details (Price, Features, etc.) 
11.1.3.    Financial Overview
11.1.3.1.    Total Revenue 
11.1.3.2.    Segment Revenue 
11.1.3.3.    Regional Revenue 
11.1.4.    SWOT Analysis
11.1.5.    Strategic Analysis
11.1.6.    Recent Developments 

11.2. British American Tobacco
11.3. China National Tobacco Corporation
11.4. Japan Tobacco International
11.5. Imperial Brands
11.6. Korea Tobacco & Ginseng Corporation
11.7. ITC Limited
11.8. Vector Group
11.9. Scandinavian Tobacco Group
11.10. Alliance One International
11.11. Swedish Match AB
11.12. PT Gudang Garam Tbk
11.13. China Tobacco
11.14. Habanos S.A.
11.15. Eastern Tobacco Company
11.16. Godfrey Phillips India
11.17. Carreras Limited
11.18. National Tobacco Company
11.19. Djarum
11.20.  Mac Baren Tobacco Company
12.     Key Findings
13.    Industry Recommendations

13.1. Strategic Recommendations
13.2. Future Outlook

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